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Comparative analysis of CNN–LSTM and CNN–BiLSTM hybrid deep learning models for solar radiation prediction – Scientific Reports

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  • Open access
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  • Yogita Yashveer Raghav1,
  • Parveen Kumari2,
  • Prashanth kumar katta3,
  • Sakshi Kathuria4,
  • Manisha Mudgal5,
  • M. Prabhakar6 &
  • Mohamed Yusuf7 

Scientific Reports (2026) Cite this article

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Abstract

Solar radiation forecasting is a complex task since the radiation signal is nonlinear, intermittent and is significantly influenced by meteorological variability, which makes it vital for PV planning, renewable energy planning and stability of the smart grid. In this work, a replicable comparison between CNN–LSTM and CNN–BiLSTM models for one-step ahead solar clearness-index forecasting based on multivariate climate variables from NASA POWER dataset for Delhi, India, is presented. Under identical preprocessing, windowing, chronological splitting, and training conditions, CNN–LSTM achieved MAE = 0.0880, RMSE = 0.1100, R2 = 0.3100, EVS = 0.3154, WI = 0.6317, and APB = 1.89%, whereas CNN–BiLSTM obtained MAE = 0.1015, RMSE = 0.1224, R2 = 0.1456, EVS = 0.1998, WI = 0.5261, and APB = 5.98%. The Skill Scores shown and the negative values for direct clearness-index prediction do not imply that the persistence reference was unattainable, but rather reveal that the results are a controlled model-to-model comparison and not evidence of state-of-the-art superiority. Reconstructed all-sky irradiance produced stronger agreement with observations (MAE = 0.4353, RMSE = 0.5417, R2 = 0.7884, EVS = 0.7965, WI = 0.9299, and APB = 3.90%). The main task of CNN–LSTM is to provide a practical balance between accuracy and efficiency in this experimental context, and further testing with other locations, more powerful baselines and probabilistic forecasting techniques is needed.

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Acknowledgements

The authors would like to thank their respective institutions for their extended support throughout this research work.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Centre of Excellence-Cloud Computing, School of Engineering & Technology, K.R. Mangalam University, Gurugram, India

    Yogita Yashveer Raghav

  2. Department of Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning, Dronacharya College of Engineering, Gurugram, India

    Parveen Kumari

  3. Department of Restorative Dental Sciences, College of Dentistry, King Faisal University, Al-Ahsa, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia

    Prashanth kumar katta

  4. Amity School of Engineering and Technology, Amity University, Gurugram, Haryana, India

    Sakshi Kathuria

  5. Computer Science Engineering, Shri Vishwakarma Skill University, Haryana, India

    Manisha Mudgal

  6. Department of Computer Science and Engineering, Dayananda Sagar University, Bangalore, India

    M. Prabhakar

  7. Department of Peace and Development Studies, Njala University, Bo Campus –18, Bo, Sierra Leone

    Mohamed Yusuf

Authors

  1. Yogita Yashveer Raghav
  2. Parveen Kumari
  3. Prashanth kumar katta
  4. Sakshi Kathuria
  5. Manisha Mudgal
  6. M. Prabhakar
  7. Mohamed Yusuf

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Mohamed Yusuf.

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The authors declare no competing interests.

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Cite this article

Raghav, Y.Y., Kumari, P., katta, P.k. et al. Comparative analysis of CNN–LSTM and CNN–BiLSTM hybrid deep learning models for solar radiation prediction. Sci Rep (2026). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-026-59621-5

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-026-59621-5

Keywords

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